Christian Nennemann
d6beb9c0a0
Gap-to-Draft Pipeline (ietf pipeline): - Context builder assembles ideas, RFC foundations, similar drafts, ecosystem vision - Generator produces outlines + sections using rich context with Claude - Quality gates: novelty (embedding similarity), references, format, self-rating - Family coordinator generates 5-draft ecosystem (AEM/ATD/HITL/AEPB/APAE) - I-D formatter with proper headers, references, 72-char wrapping Living Standards Observatory (ietf observatory): - Source abstraction with IETF + W3C fetchers - 7-step update pipeline: snapshot, fetch, analyze, embed, ideas, gaps, record - Static GitHub Pages dashboard (explorer, gap tracker, timeline) - Weekly CI/CD automation via GitHub Actions Also includes: - 361 drafts (expanded from 260 with 6 new keywords), 403 authors, 1,262 ideas, 12 gaps - Blog series (8 posts planned), reports, arXiv paper figures - Agent team infrastructure (CLAUDE.md, scripts, dev journal) - 5 new DB tables, schema migration, ~15 new query methods Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
3.6 KiB
3.6 KiB
Data Package: Post 2 — Who's Writing the Rules for AI Agents?
Geopolitical Split
| Region | Drafts | Authors | % of Drafts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chinese-affiliated | 152 | 218 | 42.1% |
| Western-affiliated | 94 | 81 | 26.0% |
| Other/Unclassified | 158 | 221 | - |
Note: "Other" includes universities, small companies, individuals whose affiliation doesn't map cleanly. Many drafts have co-authors from multiple regions.
Huawei Dominance (Combined Entities)
Huawei appears under multiple entity names in the data:
- Huawei: 57 drafts, 28 authors
- Huawei Technologies: 19 drafts, 16 authors
- Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.: 3 drafts
- Huawei Singapore: 3 drafts
Combined estimate: ~60+ unique drafts, ~40+ unique authors (some overlap). This is approximately 16-17% of all drafts.
Top 15 Organizations
| Rank | Org | Drafts | Authors | Composite Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huawei | 57 | 28 | 3.11 |
| 2 | China Mobile | 35 | 24 | 3.21 |
| 3 | China Telecom | 23 | 22 | 2.98 |
| 4 | China Unicom | 22 | 22 | 3.02 |
| 5 | Huawei Technologies | 19 | 16 | 3.17 |
| 6 | Cisco Systems | 17 | 10 | 3.50 |
| 7 | Tsinghua University | 16 | 13 | 3.53 |
| 8 | Telefonica | 13 | 2 | 3.21 |
| 9 | ZTE Corporation | 10 | 10 | 3.02 |
| 10 | Pengcheng Laboratory | 10 | 8 | 3.30 |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 3.33 | |
| 12 | Five9 | 10 | 1 | 3.75 |
| 13 | Ericsson | 9 | 4 | 3.59 |
| 14 | Sandelman Software Works | 7 | 1 | 3.46 |
| 15 | Zhongguancun Laboratory | 6 | 4 | 3.81 |
Chinese Institutional Ecosystem Tiers
Tier 1: Telecom Vendors
- Huawei (all entities): ~60+ drafts — networking, agent comm, autonomous netops
- ZTE Corporation: 10 drafts
Tier 2: Telecom Operators
- China Mobile: 35 drafts
- China Telecom: 23 drafts
- China Unicom: 22 drafts
Tier 3: Research
- Tsinghua University: 16 drafts (highest quality among Chinese orgs, composite 3.53)
- Pengcheng Laboratory: 10 drafts
- Zhongguancun Laboratory: 6 drafts (highest composite: 3.81)
- CAICT: 6 drafts (lowest composite: 2.35)
- Beijing University of Posts & Telecommunications: 4+ drafts
Tier 4: Tech Companies
- Baidu: (part of multi-author drafts)
- Tencent: (part of multi-author drafts)
Notable Western Absences
Major AI companies with minimal IETF presence:
- Microsoft: Not in top 30 orgs
- Apple: Not found
- Meta/Facebook: Not found
- OpenAI: Not found
- Anthropic: Not found
- Google: 10 drafts (modest given their agent ecosystem: Gemini, A2A protocol)
Quality vs Quantity Insight
The inverse relationship is clear:
- High-volume Chinese orgs (Huawei, China Mobile, China Telecom): composite 2.98-3.21
- Lower-volume Western companies (Five9, Ericsson, Siemens, Mozilla): composite 3.59-3.81
- Exception: Tsinghua University — high volume (16) AND high quality (3.53)
- Strongest quality leaders: Aiiva.org (4.42), AWS (4.38), Mozilla (3.81) — all low volume
Author Velocity (Oct 2025 - Mar 2026)
Top authors by recent output:
- Bing Liu (Huawei): 23 drafts
- Zhenbin Li (Huawei): 21 drafts (all in Nov 2025!)
- Nan Geng (Huawei): 20 drafts
- Qiangzhou Gao (Huawei): 20 drafts (all in Nov 2025!)
- Xiaotong Shang (Huawei): 19 drafts (all in Nov 2025!)
The Huawei surge was concentrated in Nov 2025 — a coordinated submission campaign timed with IETF 121.
Cross-Org Collaboration
180 ideas cross the Chinese-Western organizational divide. The strongest cross-divide convergences:
- A2A Communication: Huawei + China Mobile + CAICT on one side; Deutsche Telekom + Telefonica + Orange on the other
- Agent identity frameworks: both sides building on the same OAuth/SPIFFE foundations